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Derry City vs CSKA Sofia — AI Prediction

Derry City

Home
vs

CSKA Sofia

Away
Europa League
Kick-off in
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W1 Derry City 37.6%
All results
1X 65.3%
X2 62.4%
12 72.2%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
44.0% probability Expected: 2.4 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
66.7% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
16.7% probability Expected: 2.4 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
78.0% probability Expected: 10.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Derry City Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Derry City 36% / Draw 31% / CSKA Sofia 34%)

Expected goals (xG): Derry City 1.25 - CSKA Sofia 1.20. Poisson: 36% / 31% / 34% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 52%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Derry City 1.2 vs CSKA Sofia 1.2.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Derry City
35.9% 30.7% 33.5%
CSKA Sofia
WINDRAWWIN
1.25 – 1.2
Expected Goals (xG)
51.5%
BTTS Probability
44.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
71.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
Derry City CSKA Sofia
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
Derry City CSKA Sofia
48 BTTS % 48
Derry City CSKA Sofia
44 Over 2.5 % 44
Derry City CSKA Sofia
5.0 Avg Corners 5.0
Derry City CSKA Sofia
2.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
Derry City CSKA Sofia
4.2 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
Derry City CSKA Sofia
25.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
Derry City CSKA Sofia
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Derry City
0
Draws
0
CSKA Sofia

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Derry City Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.2
Avg GF
1.2
Avg GA
48%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLD
CSKA Sofia Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.2
Avg GF
1.2
Avg GA
48%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLD

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