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Matchup Analysis

FC St. Pauli

Home
vs

1. FSV Mainz 05

Away
Bundesliga
Kick-off in
Betting Insights
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
2 — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Medium
🎯 Both Teams To Score
YES
62.5% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
54.1% probability Expected: 2.2 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
87.5% probability
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
20.8% probability Expected: 2.2 goals
High
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 50.8%
X2 80.2%
12 69.0%
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.1 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
47.5% probability Expected: 7.5 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
FC St. Pauli
12.4% 32.1% 55.5%
1. FSV Mainz 05
WINDRAWWIN
0.48 – 1.29
Expected Goals (xG)
29.0%
BTTS Probability
26.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
58.3 BTTS % 66.7
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
50.0 Over 2.5 % 58.3
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
2.76 Avg Corners 4.77
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
1.24 Avg Yellow Cards 1.78
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
4.14 Avg Shots on Target 4.14
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
16.7 Clean Sheet % 16.7
FC St. Pauli 1. FSV Mainz 05
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
FC St. Pauli
1
Draws
0
1. FSV Mainz 05
21 Dec 2025 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 – 0 FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
FC St. Pauli Full Stats
3
W
4
D
5
L
0.76
Avg GF
1.76
Avg GA
58.3%
BTTS
50.0%
Over 2.5
Form: DLDLLDWWLWLD
1. FSV Mainz 05 Full Stats
6
W
3
D
3
L
1.44
Avg GF
1.18
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form: LWWWDDDLWWWL

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