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Matchup Analysis

Nantes

Home
vs

Olympique de Marseille

Away
Ligue 1
Kick-off in —
Betting Insights
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
2 — Olympique de Marseille
Medium
🎯 Both Teams To Score
YES
54.2% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
58.4% probability Expected: 2.43 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
70.8% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
41.7% probability Expected: 2.43 goals
Medium
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 42.4%
X2 70.4%
12 87.2%
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 5.0 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
44.6% probability Expected: 7.3 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Nantes
19.5% 28.5% 52.0%
Olympique de Marseille
WINDRAWWIN
0.88 – 1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
47.9%
BTTS Probability
44.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
71.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
41.7 BTTS % 66.7
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
41.7 Over 2.5 % 75.0
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
2.66 Avg Corners 4.62
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
2.54 Avg Yellow Cards 2.35
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
3.42 Avg Shots on Target 4.37
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
33.3 Clean Sheet % 16.7
Nantes Olympique de Marseille
Head to Head (Last 10)
1
Nantes
0
Draws
0
Olympique de Marseille
04 Jan 2026 Olympique de Marseille 0 – 2 Nantes Ligue 1
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Nantes Full Stats
2
W
2
D
8
L
0.72
Avg GF
1.26
Avg GA
41.7%
BTTS
41.7%
Over 2.5
Form: DDLLLWLLLLLW
Olympique de Marseille Full Stats
6
W
2
D
4
L
1.71
Avg GF
1.61
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
75.0%
Over 2.5
Form: WLLWWWLDLDWW

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