PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard — AI Prediction

PSV Eindhoven

Home

Fortuna Sittard

Away

Eredivisie

Kick-off in —

Match Insights

🔄 Double Chance

W1 PSV Eindhoven 36.0%

All results

1X 75.7%

X2 33.8%

12 90.5%

High

🎯 Both Teams To Score

YES

87.5% probability

High

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

OVER 2.5

87.5% probability Expected: 3.58 goals

High

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

100.0% probability

High

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

OVER 3.5

45.8% probability Expected: 3.58 goals

Medium

🟨 Total Cards

Over 3.5 Cards

Expected: 3.8 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Over 7.5

89.7% probability Expected: 11.7 corners

High

🧤 Clean Sheet

No Clean Sheet

Low

AI Analyse

Ensemble Verdict: PSV Eindhoven Win (68%). Confidence: High. (PSV Eindhoven 68% / Draw 13% / Fortuna Sittard 19%)

Elo Ratings: PSV Eindhoven 1611 vs Fortuna Sittard 1468 (gap: 143)

Streaks: PSV Eindhoven D, Fortuna Sittard D.

Expected goals (xG): PSV Eindhoven 3.62 - Fortuna Sittard 1.76. Poisson: 71% / 14% / 15% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 90%. BTTS: 81%.

Recommendations: YES (Both Teams To Score); OVER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); OVER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven 2.25 vs Fortuna Sittard 1.33.

Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

PSV Eindhoven

71.4% 14.0% 14.6%

Fortuna Sittard

WINDRAWWIN

3.62 – 1.76

Expected Goals (xG)

80.9%

BTTS Probability

90.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.33

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

83.3 BTTS % 91.7

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

91.7 Over 2.5 % 83.3

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

7.25 Avg Corners 4.46

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

1.84 Avg Yellow Cards 1.89

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

5.35 Avg Shots on Target 4.69

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

16.7 Clean Sheet % 0.0

PSV Eindhoven Fortuna Sittard

Head to Head (Last 10)

PSV Eindhoven

Draws

Fortuna Sittard

17 Jan 2026 Fortuna Sittard 1 – 2 PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)

PSV Eindhoven Full Stats

2.25

Avg GF

1.68

Avg GA

83.3%

BTTS

91.7%

Over 2.5

Form: DWWLLWWWLWWD

Fortuna Sittard Full Stats

1.33

Avg GF

1.96

Avg GA

91.7%

BTTS

83.3%

Over 2.5

Form: DLLWLWWLDLWL

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