Heart of Midlothian vs SK Sturm Graz — AI Prediction

Heart of Midlothian

Home

SK Sturm Graz

Away

Champions League

Kick-off in —

Match Insights

🔄 Double Chance

W1 Heart of Midlothian 36.0%

All results

1X 65.3%

X2 62.4%

12 72.2%

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

UNDER 2.5

44.0% probability Expected: 2.4 goals

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

66.7% probability

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

UNDER 3.5

16.7% probability Expected: 2.4 goals

High

🟨 Total Cards

Over 3.5 Cards

Expected: 4.2 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Over 7.5

78.0% probability Expected: 10.0 corners

High

🧤 Clean Sheet

No Clean Sheet

Low

AI Analyse

Ensemble Verdict: Heart of Midlothian Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Heart of Midlothian 36% / Draw 31% / SK Sturm Graz 34%)

Expected goals (xG): Heart of Midlothian 1.25 - SK Sturm Graz 1.20. Poisson: 36% / 31% / 34% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 52%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Heart of Midlothian 1.2 vs SK Sturm Graz 1.2.

Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

Heart of Midlothian

35.9% 30.7% 33.5%

SK Sturm Graz

WINDRAWWIN

1.25 – 1.2

Expected Goals (xG)

51.5%

BTTS Probability

44.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

71.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.2