Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord — AI Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam

Home

Feyenoord

Away

Eredivisie

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Match Insights

🔄 Double Chance

W1 Sparta Rotterdam 36.0%

All results

1X 63.1%

X2 63.8%

12 73.1%

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

UNDER 2.5

45.9% probability Expected: 2.34 goals

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

79.2% probability

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

UNDER 3.5

29.2% probability Expected: 2.34 goals

Medium

🟨 Total Cards

Over 3.5 Cards

Expected: 4.2 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Over 7.5

85.0% probability Expected: 10.9 corners

High

🧤 Clean Sheet

No Clean Sheet

Low

AI Analyse

Ensemble Verdict: Sparta Rotterdam Win (43%). Confidence: High. (Sparta Rotterdam 43% / Draw 26% / Feyenoord 30%)

Elo Ratings: Sparta Rotterdam 1505 vs Feyenoord 1527 (gap: 22)

Streaks: Sparta Rotterdam L1, Feyenoord D.

Expected goals (xG): Sparta Rotterdam 0.76 - Feyenoord 1.11. Poisson: 23% / 35% / 42% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 37%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam 1.0 vs Feyenoord 1.34.

Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

Sparta Rotterdam

23.2% 34.8% 42.0%

Feyenoord

WINDRAWWIN

0.76 – 1.11

Expected Goals (xG)

37.4%

BTTS Probability

28.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

57.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

1.0 Avg Goals Scored 1.34

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

50.0 BTTS % 58.3

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

41.7 Over 2.5 % 50.0

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

4.42 Avg Corners 6.45

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

2.17 Avg Yellow Cards 2.02

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

4.38 Avg Shots on Target 4.7

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

33.3 Clean Sheet % 25.0

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord

Head to Head (Last 10)

Sparta Rotterdam

Draws

Feyenoord

18 Jan 2026 Feyenoord 3 – 4 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)

Sparta Rotterdam Full Stats

1.0

Avg GF

1.48

Avg GA

50.0%

BTTS

41.7%

Over 2.5

Form: LDWLDLLDDWWW

Feyenoord Full Stats

1.34

Avg GF

1.31

Avg GA

58.3%

BTTS

50.0%

Over 2.5

Form: DDDWDLWWWLWL

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