PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax — AI Prediction

PEC Zwolle

Home

AFC Ajax

Away

Eredivisie

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Match Insights

🔄 Double Chance

All results

1X 68.6%

X2 78.1%

12 53.3%

High

🎯 Both Teams To Score

YES

79.2% probability

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals

OVER 2.5

62.5% probability Expected: 3.11 goals

Medium

🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals

OVER 1.5

91.7% probability

High

🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals

UNDER 3.5

41.7% probability Expected: 3.11 goals

Medium

🟨 Total Cards

Under 3.5 Cards

Expected: 2.5 cards

Medium

🚩 Total Corners

Over 7.5

81.4% probability Expected: 10.4 corners

High

🧤 Clean Sheet

No Clean Sheet

Low

AI Analyse

Ensemble Verdict: AFC Ajax Win (42%). Confidence: High. (PEC Zwolle 24% / Draw 33% / AFC Ajax 42%)

Elo Ratings: PEC Zwolle 1453 vs AFC Ajax 1550 (gap: 98)

Streaks: PEC Zwolle D, AFC Ajax D.

Expected goals (xG): PEC Zwolle 1.11 - AFC Ajax 2.17. Poisson: 17% / 22% / 60% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 61%.

Recommendations: YES (Both Teams To Score); OVER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - PEC Zwolle 1.37 vs AFC Ajax 1.74.

Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.

Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown

PEC Zwolle

17.3% 22.4% 60.3%

AFC Ajax

WINDRAWWIN

1.11 – 2.17

Expected Goals (xG)

60.6%

BTTS Probability

63.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

85.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied

Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)

1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.74

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

83.3 BTTS % 75.0

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

66.7 Over 2.5 % 58.3

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

5.63 Avg Corners 4.73

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

1.01 Avg Yellow Cards 1.34

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

4.74 Avg Shots on Target 4.2

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

8.3 Clean Sheet % 25.0

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

Head to Head (Last 10)

PEC Zwolle

Draws

AFC Ajax

01 Mar 2026 PEC Zwolle 0 – 0 AFC Ajax Eredivisie

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)

PEC Zwolle Full Stats

1.37

Avg GF

1.86

Avg GA

83.3%

BTTS

66.7%

Over 2.5

Form: DLWDDDDLLWLW

AFC Ajax Full Stats

1.74

Avg GF

1.16

Avg GA

75.0%

BTTS

58.3%

Over 2.5

Form: DDWLDWLDDWDD

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