AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag — AI Prediction
AZ Alkmaar
Homevs
ADO Den Haag
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W1
AZ Alkmaar
36.0%
All results
1X
69.4%
X2
49.9%
12
80.7%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.5 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: AZ Alkmaar Win (50%). Confidence: Low. (AZ Alkmaar 50% / Draw 29% / ADO Den Haag 21%)
Expected goals (xG): AZ Alkmaar 1.55 - ADO Den Haag 0.94. Poisson: 50% / 29% / 21% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 50%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar 1.72 vs ADO Den Haag 1.2.
Expected goals (xG): AZ Alkmaar 1.55 - ADO Den Haag 0.94. Poisson: 50% / 29% / 21% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 50%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar 1.72 vs ADO Den Haag 1.2.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
WINDRAWWIN
1.55 – 0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
49.6%
BTTS Probability
45.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.72
Avg Goals Scored
1.2
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
1.1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.2
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
50.0
BTTS %
48
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
58.3
Over 2.5 %
44
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
5.42
Avg Corners
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
1.35
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
4.62
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
33.3
Clean Sheet %
25.0
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
AZ Alkmaar
0
Draws
0
ADO Den Haag
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
AZ Alkmaar
Full Stats
6
W
2
D
4
L
1.72
Avg GF
1.1
Avg GA
50.0%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form:
WWLWLLWWDLWD
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