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Matchup Analysis

Girona FC

Home
vs

Elche

Away
La Liga
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 74.2%
X2 62.3%
12 63.6%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
50.0% probability Expected: 2.16 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
70.8% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
16.7% probability Expected: 2.16 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
51.9% probability Expected: 7.8 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
40.3% 35.0% 24.7%
1 (Home Win)
40.3%
X (Draw)
35.0%
2 (Away Win)
24.7%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Girona FC
32.7% 39.8% 27.5%
Elche
WINDRAWWIN
0.8 – 0.71
Expected Goals (xG)
29.6%
BTTS Probability
19.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
46.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
Girona FC Elche
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
Girona FC Elche
66.7 BTTS % 66.7
Girona FC Elche
41.7 Over 2.5 % 58.3
Girona FC Elche
4.37 Avg Corners 3.4
Girona FC Elche
1.69 Avg Yellow Cards 2.23
Girona FC Elche
3.26 Avg Shots on Target 2.81
Girona FC Elche
16.7 Clean Sheet % 25.0
Girona FC Elche
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Girona FC
1
Draws
0
Elche
23 May 2026 Girona FC 1 – 1 Elche La Liga
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Girona FC Full Stats
3
W
5
D
4
L
1.05
Avg GF
1.06
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
41.7%
Over 2.5
Form: DLLDWLWDLDWD
Elche Full Stats
4
W
3
D
5
L
1.11
Avg GF
1.22
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWWLWLLDLDL