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Matchup Analysis

Mexico

Home
vs

South Africa

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in —
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 77.7%
X2 82.6%
12 39.7%
High
🎯 Both Teams To Score
NO
16.6% probability
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
16.6% probability Expected: 0.66 goals
High
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
UNDER 1.5
33.3% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Expected: 0.66 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
High
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
X — Draw
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
Mexico CS
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Mexico Win (48%). Confidence: Low. (Mexico 48% / Draw 34% / South Africa 17%)

Expected goals (xG): Mexico 1.18 - South Africa 0.60. Poisson: 48% / 34% / 17% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 33%.

Recommendations: NO (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); UNDER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Mexico 0.0 vs South Africa 0.66.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
48.5% 34.2% 17.3%
1 (Home Win)
48.5%
X (Draw)
34.2%
2 (Away Win)
17.3%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Mexico
48.5% 34.2% 17.3%
South Africa
WINDRAWWIN
1.18 – 0.6
Expected Goals (xG)
32.8%
BTTS Probability
26.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
0.0 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
Mexico South Africa
0.0 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
Mexico South Africa
0.0 BTTS % 33.3
Mexico South Africa
0.0 Over 2.5 % 33.3
Mexico South Africa
0.0 Avg Corners 0.0
Mexico South Africa
0.0 Avg Yellow Cards 0.0
Mexico South Africa
0.0 Avg Shots on Target 0.0
Mexico South Africa
100.0 Clean Sheet % 0.0
Mexico South Africa
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Mexico
0
Draws
0
South Africa

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Mexico Full Stats
0
W
1
D
0
L
0.0
Avg GF
0.0
Avg GA
0.0%
BTTS
0.0%
Over 2.5
Form: D
South Africa Full Stats
1
W
0
D
2
L
0.66
Avg GF
1.3
Avg GA
33.3%
BTTS
33.3%
Over 2.5
Form: LWL