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San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks 95–105 ✗ Miss Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights 4–5 ✓ Correct Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs 103–111 ✓ Correct Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal 1–1 ✗ Miss Bayern München Basketball vs Bonn 83–78 ✓ Correct
Matchup Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain

Home
vs

Arsenal

Away
Champions League
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 65.0%
X2 71.5%
12 63.5%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
48.8% probability Expected: 3.68 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
87.5% probability
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
33.8% probability Expected: 3.68 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 2.1 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
92.7% probability Expected: 12.4 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Medium
30.0% 33.4% 36.6%
1 (Home Win)
30.0%
X (Draw)
33.4%
2 (Away Win)
36.6%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Paris Saint-Germain
27.8% 42.5% 29.7%
Arsenal
WINDRAWWIN
0.65 – 0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
25.1%
BTTS Probability
15.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
39.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
70.0 BTTS % 62.5
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
60.0 Over 2.5 % 37.5
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
5.89 Avg Corners 6.55
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
0.62 Avg Yellow Cards 1.5
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
4.49 Avg Shots on Target 3.14
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
30.0 Clean Sheet % 37.5
Paris Saint-Germain Arsenal
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Paris Saint-Germain
1
Draws
0
Arsenal
30 May 2026 Paris Saint-Germain 1 – 1 Arsenal Champions League
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Paris Saint-Germain Full Stats
5
W
3
D
2
L
2.14
Avg GF
1.03
Avg GA
70.0%
BTTS
60.0%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWWWDWDLL
Arsenal Full Stats
5
W
3
D
0
L
1.54
Avg GF
0.68
Avg GA
62.5%
BTTS
37.5%
Over 2.5
Form: DDWWDWWW