Matchup Analysis

Mallorca

Home
vs

Real Oviedo

Away
La Liga
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 74.1%
X2 48.2%
12 77.7%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
58.4% probability Expected: 2.31 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
75.0% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
12.5% probability Expected: 2.31 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.9 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
57.5% probability Expected: 8.2 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
54.9% 22.4% 22.7%
1 (Home Win)
54.9%
X (Draw)
22.4%
2 (Away Win)
22.7%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Mallorca
53.3% 29.7% 17.0%
Real Oviedo
WINDRAWWIN
1.47 – 0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
41.4%
BTTS Probability
37.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
66.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
Mallorca Real Oviedo
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
Mallorca Real Oviedo
58.3 BTTS % 33.3
Mallorca Real Oviedo
66.7 Over 2.5 % 50.0
Mallorca Real Oviedo
4.5 Avg Corners 3.65
Mallorca Real Oviedo
2.18 Avg Yellow Cards 2.33
Mallorca Real Oviedo
2.91 Avg Shots on Target 2.77
Mallorca Real Oviedo
16.7 Clean Sheet % 33.3
Mallorca Real Oviedo
Head to Head (Last 10)
1
Mallorca
0
Draws
0
Real Oviedo
23 May 2026 Mallorca 3 – 0 Real Oviedo La Liga
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Mallorca Full Stats
4
W
2
D
6
L
1.44
Avg GF
1.23
Avg GA
58.3%
BTTS
66.7%
Over 2.5
Form: WLDLWWLWDLLL
Real Oviedo Full Stats
3
W
3
D
6
L
0.87
Avg GF
1.45
Avg GA
33.3%
BTTS
50.0%
Over 2.5
Form: LLDLWWLWDLLD