Matchup Analysis
Valencia
Homevs
FC Barcelona
AwayMatch Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
54.1%
X2
49.4%
12
96.5%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.7 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
FC Barcelona CS
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
Confidence: High
1 (Home Win)
37.4%
X (Draw)
15.7%
2 (Away Win)
46.9%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Valencia
FC Barcelona
WINDRAWWIN
1.56 – 2.48
Expected Goals (xG)
73.2%
BTTS Probability
76.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
92.0%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.91
Avg Goals Scored
2.31
Valencia
FC Barcelona
1.24
Avg Goals Conceded
0.91
Valencia
FC Barcelona
50.0
BTTS %
50.0
Valencia
FC Barcelona
50.0
Over 2.5 %
66.7
Valencia
FC Barcelona
5.49
Avg Corners
6.3
Valencia
FC Barcelona
1.66
Avg Yellow Cards
1.93
Valencia
FC Barcelona
2.53
Avg Shots on Target
3.25
Valencia
FC Barcelona
33.3
Clean Sheet %
50.0
Valencia
FC Barcelona
Head to Head (Last 10)
1
Valencia
0
Draws
0
FC Barcelona
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Valencia Full Stats
8
W
0
D
4
L
1.91
Avg GF
1.24
Avg GA
50.0%
BTTS
50.0%
Over 2.5
Form:
WWWWLLWLWWLW
FC Barcelona Full Stats
10
W
0
D
2
L
2.31
Avg GF
0.91
Avg GA
50.0%
BTTS
66.7%
Over 2.5
Form:
LWWWWWWWWWLW