Matchup Analysis
Celta Vigo
Homevs
Sevilla
AwayMatch Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
80.8%
X2
41.8%
12
77.4%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
Confidence: High
1 (Home Win)
55.9%
X (Draw)
19.9%
2 (Away Win)
24.2%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
WINDRAWWIN
1.57 – 0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
47.9%
BTTS Probability
44.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
71.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.41
Avg Goals Scored
0.8
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1.54
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
66.7
BTTS %
58.3
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
58.3
Over 2.5 %
33.3
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
3.19
Avg Corners
4.21
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1.69
Avg Yellow Cards
2.36
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
2.98
Avg Shots on Target
1.8
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
25.0
Clean Sheet %
8.3
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Head to Head (Last 10)
2
Celta Vigo
0
Draws
0
Sevilla
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Celta Vigo Full Stats
4
W
4
D
4
L
1.41
Avg GF
1.54
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form:
WDLWLDLWWDLD