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Matchup Analysis

Getafe

Home
vs

Osasuna

Away
La Liga
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 74.2%
X2 44.7%
12 81.1%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
37.5% probability Expected: 1.84 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
UNDER 1.5
54.2% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
12.5% probability Expected: 1.84 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 5.6 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
64.0% probability Expected: 8.7 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
Getafe CS
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
47.6% 29.3% 23.1%
1 (Home Win)
47.6%
X (Draw)
29.3%
2 (Away Win)
23.1%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Getafe
28.5% 52.0% 19.4%
Osasuna
WINDRAWWIN
0.5 – 0.37
Expected Goals (xG)
13.2%
BTTS Probability
5.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
22.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
Getafe Osasuna
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
Getafe Osasuna
16.7 BTTS % 66.7
Getafe Osasuna
16.7 Over 2.5 % 58.3
Getafe Osasuna
3.8 Avg Corners 4.9
Getafe Osasuna
2.68 Avg Yellow Cards 2.42
Getafe Osasuna
2.5 Avg Shots on Target 2.27
Getafe Osasuna
41.7 Clean Sheet % 16.7
Getafe Osasuna
Head to Head (Last 10)
1
Getafe
0
Draws
0
Osasuna
23 May 2026 Getafe 1 – 0 Osasuna La Liga
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Getafe Full Stats
6
W
1
D
5
L
0.72
Avg GF
0.65
Avg GA
16.7%
BTTS
16.7%
Over 2.5
Form: WLDLLWWLWWLW
Osasuna Full Stats
4
W
4
D
4
L
1.12
Avg GF
1.3
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form: LLWDDWLDLWDW