Matchup Analysis
Athletic Club
Homevs
Celta Vigo
AwayMatch Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
59.1%
X2
75.3%
12
65.7%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
Confidence: High
1 (Home Win)
25.1%
X (Draw)
31.3%
2 (Away Win)
43.6%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
WINDRAWWIN
1.4 – 2.19
Expected Goals (xG)
68.0%
BTTS Probability
69.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
88.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.08
Avg Goals Scored
1.41
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
1.92
Avg Goals Conceded
1.54
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
66.7
BTTS %
66.7
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
58.3
Over 2.5 %
58.3
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
5.96
Avg Corners
3.19
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
1.52
Avg Yellow Cards
1.69
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
2.59
Avg Shots on Target
2.98
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
0.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Athletic Club
1
Draws
0
Celta Vigo
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Athletic Club Full Stats
3
W
2
D
7
L
1.08
Avg GF
1.92
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form:
LDLLLLWLLDWW
Celta Vigo Full Stats
4
W
4
D
4
L
1.41
Avg GF
1.54
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form:
WDLWLDLWWDLD