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Matchup Analysis

Espanyol

Home
vs

Real Sociedad

Away
La Liga
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 70.1%
X2 86.7%
12 43.1%
High
🎯 Both Teams To Score
YES
83.3% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
70.8% probability Expected: 3.27 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
87.5% probability
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
OVER 3.5
58.3% probability Expected: 3.27 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 5.3 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
77.1% probability Expected: 9.9 corners
High
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
X — Draw
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
25.3% 29.4% 45.3%
1 (Home Win)
25.3%
X (Draw)
29.4%
2 (Away Win)
45.3%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Espanyol
25.0% 16.0% 59.0%
Real Sociedad
WINDRAWWIN
2.42 – 3.53
Expected Goals (xG)
88.7%
BTTS Probability
93.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
98.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
Espanyol Real Sociedad
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
Espanyol Real Sociedad
83.3 BTTS % 83.3
Espanyol Real Sociedad
66.7 Over 2.5 % 75.0
Espanyol Real Sociedad
4.55 Avg Corners 5.32
Espanyol Real Sociedad
2.45 Avg Yellow Cards 2.47
Espanyol Real Sociedad
3.16 Avg Shots on Target 2.86
Espanyol Real Sociedad
16.7 Clean Sheet % 16.7
Espanyol Real Sociedad
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Espanyol
1
Draws
0
Real Sociedad
23 May 2026 Espanyol 1 – 1 Real Sociedad La Liga
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Espanyol Full Stats
1
W
6
D
5
L
1.09
Avg GF
1.67
Avg GA
83.3%
BTTS
66.7%
Over 2.5
Form: DWDLDLLDDLDL
Real Sociedad Full Stats
4
W
4
D
4
L
2.18
Avg GF
2.2
Avg GA
83.3%
BTTS
75.0%
Over 2.5
Form: DLDDWLWLWDLW