Matchup Analysis
Real Madrid
Homevs
Athletic Club
AwayMatch Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
82.5%
X2
27.8%
12
89.7%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.6 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
Confidence: High
1 (Home Win)
71.4%
X (Draw)
14.3%
2 (Away Win)
14.3%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
WINDRAWWIN
3.18 – 1.19
Expected Goals (xG)
67.3%
BTTS Probability
81.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.89
Avg Goals Scored
1.08
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded
1.92
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
66.7
BTTS %
66.7
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
58.3
Over 2.5 %
58.3
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
5.79
Avg Corners
5.96
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1.96
Avg Yellow Cards
1.52
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
2.77
Avg Shots on Target
2.59
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
16.7
Clean Sheet %
0.0
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Head to Head (Last 10)
1
Real Madrid
0
Draws
0
Athletic Club
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Real Madrid Full Stats
7
W
1
D
4
L
1.89
Avg GF
1.31
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form:
WWLDLWWWLLWW
Athletic Club Full Stats
3
W
2
D
7
L
1.08
Avg GF
1.92
Avg GA
66.7%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form:
LDLLLLWLLDWW