Matchup Analysis
Osasuna
Homevs
Espanyol
AwayMatch Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
74.0%
X2
61.3%
12
64.6%
Medium
🎯 Both Teams To Score
YES
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 5.3 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
Confidence: High
1 (Home Win)
47.8%
X (Draw)
21.2%
2 (Away Win)
31.0%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Osasuna
Espanyol
WINDRAWWIN
1.37 – 1.0
Expected Goals (xG)
48.8%
BTTS Probability
42.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
70.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.12
Avg Goals Scored
1.09
Osasuna
Espanyol
1.3
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
Osasuna
Espanyol
66.7
BTTS %
83.3
Osasuna
Espanyol
58.3
Over 2.5 %
66.7
Osasuna
Espanyol
4.9
Avg Corners
4.55
Osasuna
Espanyol
2.42
Avg Yellow Cards
2.45
Osasuna
Espanyol
2.27
Avg Shots on Target
3.16
Osasuna
Espanyol
16.7
Clean Sheet %
16.7
Osasuna
Espanyol
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Osasuna
0
Draws
1
Espanyol
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Espanyol Full Stats
1
W
6
D
5
L
1.09
Avg GF
1.67
Avg GA
83.3%
BTTS
66.7%
Over 2.5
Form:
DWDLDLLDDLDL