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Matchup Analysis

Bologna

Home
vs

Inter

Away
Serie A
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 49.3%
X2 73.0%
12 77.7%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
50.0% probability Expected: 3.95 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
79.2% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
33.3% probability Expected: 3.95 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.7 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
57.5% probability Expected: 8.2 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
21.7% 20.3% 58.0%
1 (Home Win)
21.7%
X (Draw)
20.3%
2 (Away Win)
58.0%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Bologna
25.5% 16.5% 58.0%
Inter
WINDRAWWIN
2.35 – 3.39
Expected Goals (xG)
87.7%
BTTS Probability
92.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
98.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 2.54
Bologna Inter
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
Bologna Inter
41.7 BTTS % 58.3
Bologna Inter
50.0 Over 2.5 % 50.0
Bologna Inter
3.8 Avg Corners 4.42
Bologna Inter
1.05 Avg Yellow Cards 2.42
Bologna Inter
3.38 Avg Shots on Target 4.07
Bologna Inter
33.3 Clean Sheet % 33.3
Bologna Inter
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Bologna
1
Draws
1
Inter
23 May 2026 Bologna 3 – 3 Inter Serie A
04 Jan 2026 Inter 3 – 1 Bologna Serie A
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Bologna Full Stats
6
W
1
D
5
L
1.41
Avg GF
1.29
Avg GA
41.7%
BTTS
50.0%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLWLWWWLLL
Inter Full Stats
7
W
4
D
1
L
2.54
Avg GF
1.55
Avg GA
58.3%
BTTS
50.0%
Over 2.5
Form: DDWWDDLWWWWW