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Matchup Analysis

Lazio

Home
vs

Pisa

Away
Serie A
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 92.9%
X2 27.2%
12 79.9%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
45.8% probability Expected: 1.9 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
66.7% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
25.0% probability Expected: 1.9 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 3.6 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
27.0% probability Expected: 6.1 corners
Medium
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: High
74.1% 14.5% 11.4%
1 (Home Win)
74.1%
X (Draw)
14.5%
2 (Away Win)
11.4%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Lazio
79.8% 16.1% 4.2%
Pisa
WINDRAWWIN
2.3 – 0.4
Expected Goals (xG)
30.5%
BTTS Probability
50.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
75.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 0.48
Lazio Pisa
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
Lazio Pisa
41.7 BTTS % 33.3
Lazio Pisa
33.3 Over 2.5 % 58.3
Lazio Pisa
3.82 Avg Corners 2.32
Lazio Pisa
1.96 Avg Yellow Cards 1.56
Lazio Pisa
2.59 Avg Shots on Target 2.24
Lazio Pisa
33.3 Clean Sheet % 8.3
Lazio Pisa
Head to Head (Last 10)
1
Lazio
0
Draws
0
Pisa
23 May 2026 Lazio 2 – 1 Pisa Serie A
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Lazio Full Stats
5
W
4
D
3
L
1.42
Avg GF
1.08
Avg GA
41.7%
BTTS
33.3%
Over 2.5
Form: WDWLDWWWLDLD
Pisa Full Stats
1
W
1
D
10
L
0.48
Avg GF
2.04
Avg GA
33.3%
BTTS
58.3%
Over 2.5
Form: LLLLLWLLLLDL