Matchup Analysis
Netherlands
Homevs
Japan
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
43.9%
X2
63.0%
12
93.0%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Expected: 4.0 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
Netherlands CS
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Japan Win (48%). Confidence: Low. (Netherlands 40% / Draw 12% / Japan 48%)
Elo Ratings: Netherlands 1534 vs Japan 1528 (gap: 6)
Streaks: Netherlands W1, Japan W1.
Expected goals (xG): Netherlands 2.17 - Japan 2.56. Poisson: 33% / 20% / 47% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 85%. BTTS: 82%.
Recommendations: YES (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Netherlands 2.0 vs Japan 2.0.
Elo Ratings: Netherlands 1534 vs Japan 1528 (gap: 6)
Streaks: Netherlands W1, Japan W1.
Expected goals (xG): Netherlands 2.17 - Japan 2.56. Poisson: 33% / 20% / 47% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 85%. BTTS: 82%.
Recommendations: YES (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Netherlands 2.0 vs Japan 2.0.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
40.0%
X (Draw)
12.5%
2 (Away Win)
47.5%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Netherlands
Japan
WINDRAWWIN
2.17 – 2.56
Expected Goals (xG)
82.4%
BTTS Probability
85.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
95.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
2.0
Avg Goals Scored
2.0
Netherlands
Japan
0.0
Avg Goals Conceded
1.0
Netherlands
Japan
0.0
BTTS %
100.0
Netherlands
Japan
0.0
Over 2.5 %
100.0
Netherlands
Japan
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0
Netherlands
Japan
0.0
Avg Yellow Cards
0.0
Netherlands
Japan
0.0
Avg Shots on Target
0.0
Netherlands
Japan
100.0
Clean Sheet %
0.0
Netherlands
Japan
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Netherlands
0
Draws
0
Japan
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)