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Matchup Analysis

Spain

Home
vs

Cape Verde

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in —
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 77.8%
X2 33.8%
12 88.4%
High
🎯 Both Teams To Score
NO
24.0% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
72.0% probability Expected: 8.2 goals
High
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
83.3% probability
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
OVER 3.5
58.3% probability Expected: 8.2 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 2.1 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
13.3% probability Expected: 5.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
Spain CS
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Spain Win (96%). Confidence: Low. (Spain 96% / Draw 2% / Cape Verde 1%)

Expected goals (xG): Spain 18.56 - Cape Verde 3.13. Poisson: 96% / 2% / 1% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 100%. BTTS: 96%.

Recommendations: NO (Both Teams To Score); OVER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); OVER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Spain 7.0 vs Cape Verde 1.2.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
96.5% 2.4% 1.2%
1 (Home Win)
96.5%
X (Draw)
2.4%
2 (Away Win)
1.2%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Spain
96.5% 2.4% 1.2%
Cape Verde
WINDRAWWIN
18.56 – 3.13
Expected Goals (xG)
95.6%
BTTS Probability
100.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
100.0%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
7.0 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
Spain Cape Verde
0.0 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
Spain Cape Verde
0.0 BTTS % 48
Spain Cape Verde
100.0 Over 2.5 % 44
Spain Cape Verde
0.0 Avg Corners 5.0
Spain Cape Verde
0.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
Spain Cape Verde
0.0 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
Spain Cape Verde
100.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
Spain Cape Verde
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Spain
0
Draws
0
Cape Verde

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Spain Full Stats
1
W
0
D
0
L
7.0
Avg GF
0.0
Avg GA
0.0%
BTTS
100.0%
Over 2.5
Form: W
Cape Verde Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.2
Avg GF
1.2
Avg GA
48%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLD