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Matchup Analysis

Sweden

Home
vs

Tunisia

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in —
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 89.4%
X2 63.6%
12 47.0%
High
🎯 Both Teams To Score
NO
24.0% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
22.0% probability Expected: 1.2 goals
High
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
UNDER 1.5
33.3% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
8.3% probability Expected: 1.2 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 2.1 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
13.3% probability Expected: 5.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
Tunisia CS
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Sweden Win (38%). Confidence: Low. (Sweden 38% / Draw 30% / Tunisia 32%)

Expected goals (xG): Sweden 1.32 - Tunisia 1.20. Poisson: 38% / 30% / 32% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.

Recommendations: NO (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); UNDER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Sweden 1.2 vs Tunisia 0.0.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
37.8% 30.1% 32.1%
1 (Home Win)
37.8%
X (Draw)
30.1%
2 (Away Win)
32.1%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Sweden
37.8% 30.1% 32.1%
Tunisia
WINDRAWWIN
1.32 – 1.2
Expected Goals (xG)
52.9%
BTTS Probability
46.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
73.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
48 BTTS % 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
44 Over 2.5 % 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
5.0 Avg Corners 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
2.0 Avg Yellow Cards 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
4.2 Avg Shots on Target 0.0
Sweden Tunisia
25.0 Clean Sheet % 100.0
Sweden Tunisia
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Sweden
0
Draws
0
Tunisia

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Sweden Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.2
Avg GF
1.2
Avg GA
48%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLD
Tunisia Full Stats
0
W
1
D
0
L
0.0
Avg GF
0.0
Avg GA
0.0%
BTTS
0.0%
Over 2.5
Form: D