Matchup Analysis
Ivory Coast
Homevs
Ecuador
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
41.9%
X2
64.3%
12
93.8%
High
🎯 Both Teams To Score
NO
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Expected: 2.97 goals
High
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Expected: 2.97 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
Ivory Coast CS
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Ivory Coast Win (50%). Confidence: Low. (Ivory Coast 50% / Draw 36% / Ecuador 14%)
Expected goals (xG): Ivory Coast 1.09 - Ecuador 0.47. Poisson: 50% / 36% / 14% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 21%. BTTS: 26%.
Recommendations: NO (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Ivory Coast 0.97 vs Ecuador 2.0.
Expected goals (xG): Ivory Coast 1.09 - Ecuador 0.47. Poisson: 50% / 36% / 14% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 21%. BTTS: 26%.
Recommendations: NO (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Ivory Coast 0.97 vs Ecuador 2.0.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
49.5%
X (Draw)
36.0%
2 (Away Win)
14.4%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
WINDRAWWIN
1.09 – 0.47
Expected Goals (xG)
26.3%
BTTS Probability
20.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
47.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
0.97
Avg Goals Scored
2.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
0.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
0.0
BTTS %
0.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
0.0
Over 2.5 %
0.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
0.0
Avg Yellow Cards
0.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
0.0
Avg Shots on Target
0.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
66.7
Clean Sheet %
100.0
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Ivory Coast
0
Draws
0
Ecuador
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)