Matchup Analysis
USA
Homevs
Paraguay
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
65.5%
X2
88.7%
12
45.8%
High
🎯 Both Teams To Score
YES
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
High
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
High
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 2.1 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Draw (36%). Confidence: Low. (USA 34% / Draw 36% / Paraguay 30%)
Expected goals (xG): USA 0.93 - Paraguay 0.85. Poisson: 34% / 36% / 30% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 36%.
Recommendations: YES (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - USA 1.0 vs Paraguay 1.2.
Expected goals (xG): USA 0.93 - Paraguay 0.85. Poisson: 34% / 36% / 30% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 36%.
Recommendations: YES (Both Teams To Score); UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - USA 1.0 vs Paraguay 1.2.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
33.9%
X (Draw)
36.5%
2 (Away Win)
29.5%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
USA
Paraguay
WINDRAWWIN
0.93 – 0.85
Expected Goals (xG)
36.4%
BTTS Probability
26.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.0
Avg Goals Scored
1.2
USA
Paraguay
1.0
Avg Goals Conceded
1.2
USA
Paraguay
100.0
BTTS %
48
USA
Paraguay
0.0
Over 2.5 %
44
USA
Paraguay
0.0
Avg Corners
5.0
USA
Paraguay
0.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
USA
Paraguay
0.0
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
USA
Paraguay
0.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
USA
Paraguay
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
USA
0
Draws
0
Paraguay
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)