Matchup Analysis

USA

Home
vs

Germany

Away
International Friendly
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Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 62.5%
X2 60.9%
12 76.6%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
OVER 2.5
64.5% probability Expected: 3.41 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
79.2% probability
High
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
25.0% probability Expected: 3.41 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Under 3.5 Cards
Expected: 2.1 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Under 7.5
13.3% probability Expected: 5.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
USA CS
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: USA Win (67%). Confidence: Low. (USA 67% / Draw 22% / Germany 11%)

Expected goals (xG): USA 2.00 - Germany 0.69. Poisson: 67% / 22% / 11% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 44%.

Recommendations: OVER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - USA 1.86 vs Germany 1.55.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
67.0% 22.4% 10.7%
1 (Home Win)
67.0%
X (Draw)
22.4%
2 (Away Win)
10.7%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
USA
67.0% 22.4% 10.7%
Germany
WINDRAWWIN
2.0 – 0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
44.3%
BTTS Probability
50.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
76.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
USA Germany
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
USA Germany
50.0 BTTS % 54
USA Germany
75.0 Over 2.5 % 54
USA Germany
0.0 Avg Corners 5.0
USA Germany
0.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
USA Germany
0.0 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
USA Germany
50.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
USA Germany
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
USA
0
Draws
0
Germany

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
USA Full Stats
2
W
1
D
1
L
1.86
Avg GF
0.69
Avg GA
50.0%
BTTS
75.0%
Over 2.5
Form: WWDL
Germany Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.55
Avg GF
0.95
Avg GA
54%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
Form: WWDLW