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Matchup Analysis

Portugal

Home
vs

Uzbekistan

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in —
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X 87.9%
X2 30.6%
12 81.5%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
49.0% probability Expected: 2.75 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
75.0% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
20.8% probability Expected: 2.75 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
78.0% probability Expected: 10.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Portugal Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Portugal 36% / Draw 30% / Uzbekistan 34%)

Expected goals (xG): Portugal 1.27 - Uzbekistan 1.23. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Portugal 1.6 vs Uzbekistan 1.15.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
35.8% 30.3% 33.9%
1 (Home Win)
35.8%
X (Draw)
30.3%
2 (Away Win)
33.9%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Portugal
35.8% 30.3% 33.9%
Uzbekistan
WINDRAWWIN
1.27 – 1.23
Expected Goals (xG)
52.6%
BTTS Probability
45.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
Portugal Uzbekistan
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
Portugal Uzbekistan
54 BTTS % 48
Portugal Uzbekistan
54 Over 2.5 % 44
Portugal Uzbekistan
5.0 Avg Corners 5.0
Portugal Uzbekistan
2.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
Portugal Uzbekistan
4.2 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
Portugal Uzbekistan
25.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
Portugal Uzbekistan
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Portugal
0
Draws
0
Uzbekistan

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Portugal Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.6
Avg GF
0.9
Avg GA
54%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
Form: WWDLW
Uzbekistan Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.15
Avg GF
1.25
Avg GA
48%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLD