Matchup Analysis
Mexico
Homevs
Korea Republic
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W1
Mexico
47.6%
All results
1X
72.6%
X2
52.4%
12
75.0%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Mexico Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Mexico 36% / Draw 30% / Korea Republic 34%)
Expected goals (xG): Mexico 1.29 - Korea Republic 1.24. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Mexico 1.6 vs Korea Republic 1.4.
Expected goals (xG): Mexico 1.29 - Korea Republic 1.24. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Mexico 1.6 vs Korea Republic 1.4.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
36.1%
X (Draw)
30.1%
2 (Away Win)
33.8%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Mexico
Korea Republic
WINDRAWWIN
1.29 – 1.24
Expected Goals (xG)
53.2%
BTTS Probability
46.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
73.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.6
Avg Goals Scored
1.4
Mexico
Korea Republic
0.9
Avg Goals Conceded
1.05
Mexico
Korea Republic
54
BTTS %
50
Mexico
Korea Republic
54
Over 2.5 %
48
Mexico
Korea Republic
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
Mexico
Korea Republic
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
Mexico
Korea Republic
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
Mexico
Korea Republic
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Mexico
Korea Republic
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Mexico
0
Draws
0
Korea Republic
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)