Matchup Analysis
England
Homevs
Croatia
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W1
England
40.1%
All results
1X
62.9%
X2
59.9%
12
77.2%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: England Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (England 36% / Draw 30% / Croatia 34%)
Expected goals (xG): England 1.30 - Croatia 1.25. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - England 1.6 vs Croatia 1.6.
Expected goals (xG): England 1.30 - Croatia 1.25. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - England 1.6 vs Croatia 1.6.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
36.2%
X (Draw)
30.0%
2 (Away Win)
33.8%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
England
Croatia
WINDRAWWIN
1.3 – 1.25
Expected Goals (xG)
53.6%
BTTS Probability
46.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
73.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.6
Avg Goals Scored
1.6
England
Croatia
0.9
Avg Goals Conceded
0.9
England
Croatia
54
BTTS %
54
England
Croatia
54
Over 2.5 %
54
England
Croatia
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
England
Croatia
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
England
Croatia
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
England
Croatia
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
England
Croatia
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
England
0
Draws
0
Croatia
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)