Matchup Analysis

France

Home
vs

Senegal

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W1 France 50.5%
All results
1X 75.1%
X2 49.5%
12 75.4%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
54.0% probability Expected: 3.2 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
83.3% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
25.0% probability Expected: 3.2 goals
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
78.0% probability Expected: 10.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: France Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (France 36% / Draw 30% / Senegal 34%)

Expected goals (xG): France 1.30 - Senegal 1.25. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - France 1.6 vs Senegal 1.6.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
36.2% 30.0% 33.8%
1 (Home Win)
36.2%
X (Draw)
30.0%
2 (Away Win)
33.8%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
France
36.2% 30.0% 33.8%
Senegal
WINDRAWWIN
1.3 – 1.25
Expected Goals (xG)
53.6%
BTTS Probability
46.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
73.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
France Senegal
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
France Senegal
54 BTTS % 54
France Senegal
54 Over 2.5 % 54
France Senegal
5.0 Avg Corners 5.0
France Senegal
2.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
France Senegal
4.2 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
France Senegal
25.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
France Senegal
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
France
0
Draws
0
Senegal

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
France Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.6
Avg GF
0.9
Avg GA
54%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
Form: WWDLW
Senegal Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.6
Avg GF
0.9
Avg GA
54%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
Form: WWDLW