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Matchup Analysis

South Africa

Home
vs

Korea Republic

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in —
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W2 Korea Republic 61.5%
All results
1X 38.5%
X2 80.2%
12 81.3%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
46.0% probability Expected: 2.55 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
70.8% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
16.7% probability Expected: 2.55 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
78.0% probability Expected: 10.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: South Africa Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (South Africa 36% / Draw 30% / Korea Republic 34%)

Expected goals (xG): South Africa 1.26 - Korea Republic 1.21. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - South Africa 1.15 vs Korea Republic 1.4.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
35.9% 30.5% 33.5%
1 (Home Win)
35.9%
X (Draw)
30.5%
2 (Away Win)
33.5%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
South Africa
35.9% 30.5% 33.5%
Korea Republic
WINDRAWWIN
1.26 – 1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
51.9%
BTTS Probability
44.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
South Africa Korea Republic
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
South Africa Korea Republic
48 BTTS % 50
South Africa Korea Republic
44 Over 2.5 % 48
South Africa Korea Republic
5.0 Avg Corners 5.0
South Africa Korea Republic
2.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
South Africa Korea Republic
4.2 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
South Africa Korea Republic
25.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
South Africa Korea Republic
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
South Africa
0
Draws
0
Korea Republic

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
South Africa Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.15
Avg GF
1.25
Avg GA
48%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Form: DWWLD
Korea Republic Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
1.4
Avg GF
1.05
Avg GA
50%
BTTS
48%
Over 2.5
Form: WDWLW