Matchup Analysis
Ecuador
Homevs
Germany
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W2
Germany
46.5%
All results
1X
53.5%
X2
70.5%
12
76.0%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Ecuador Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Ecuador 36% / Draw 30% / Germany 34%)
Expected goals (xG): Ecuador 1.29 - Germany 1.24. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Ecuador 1.4 vs Germany 1.6.
Expected goals (xG): Ecuador 1.29 - Germany 1.24. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Ecuador 1.4 vs Germany 1.6.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
36.1%
X (Draw)
30.1%
2 (Away Win)
33.8%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Ecuador
Germany
WINDRAWWIN
1.29 – 1.24
Expected Goals (xG)
53.2%
BTTS Probability
46.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
73.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.4
Avg Goals Scored
1.6
Ecuador
Germany
1.05
Avg Goals Conceded
0.9
Ecuador
Germany
50
BTTS %
54
Ecuador
Germany
48
Over 2.5 %
54
Ecuador
Germany
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
Ecuador
Germany
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
Ecuador
Germany
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
Ecuador
Germany
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Ecuador
Germany
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Ecuador
0
Draws
0
Germany
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)