Matchup Analysis
Sweden
Homevs
Tunisia
Away
Kick-off in
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Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W1
Sweden
37.6%
All results
1X
65.3%
X2
62.4%
12
72.2%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Sweden Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Sweden 36% / Draw 31% / Tunisia 34%)
Expected goals (xG): Sweden 1.25 - Tunisia 1.20. Poisson: 36% / 31% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 52%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Sweden 1.15 vs Tunisia 1.15.
Expected goals (xG): Sweden 1.25 - Tunisia 1.20. Poisson: 36% / 31% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 52%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Sweden 1.15 vs Tunisia 1.15.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
35.9%
X (Draw)
30.7%
2 (Away Win)
33.5%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Sweden
Tunisia
WINDRAWWIN
1.25 – 1.2
Expected Goals (xG)
51.5%
BTTS Probability
44.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
71.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.15
Avg Goals Scored
1.15
Sweden
Tunisia
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded
1.25
Sweden
Tunisia
48
BTTS %
48
Sweden
Tunisia
44
Over 2.5 %
44
Sweden
Tunisia
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
Sweden
Tunisia
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
Sweden
Tunisia
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
Sweden
Tunisia
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Sweden
Tunisia
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Sweden
0
Draws
0
Tunisia
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)