Matchup Analysis
Tunisia
Homevs
Japan
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W2
Japan
54.8%
All results
1X
45.2%
X2
76.3%
12
78.5%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Tunisia Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Tunisia 36% / Draw 30% / Japan 34%)
Expected goals (xG): Tunisia 1.26 - Japan 1.21. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Tunisia 1.15 vs Japan 1.4.
Expected goals (xG): Tunisia 1.26 - Japan 1.21. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Tunisia 1.15 vs Japan 1.4.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
35.9%
X (Draw)
30.5%
2 (Away Win)
33.5%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Tunisia
Japan
WINDRAWWIN
1.26 – 1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
51.9%
BTTS Probability
44.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.15
Avg Goals Scored
1.4
Tunisia
Japan
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded
1.05
Tunisia
Japan
48
BTTS %
50
Tunisia
Japan
44
Over 2.5 %
48
Tunisia
Japan
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
Tunisia
Japan
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
Tunisia
Japan
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
Tunisia
Japan
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Tunisia
Japan
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Tunisia
0
Draws
0
Japan
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)