Matchup Analysis
Senegal
Homevs
Iraq
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
All results
1X
87.5%
X2
31.0%
12
81.5%
High
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
Medium
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Senegal Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Senegal 36% / Draw 30% / Iraq 34%)
Expected goals (xG): Senegal 1.27 - Iraq 1.23. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Senegal 1.6 vs Iraq 1.15.
Expected goals (xG): Senegal 1.27 - Iraq 1.23. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Senegal 1.6 vs Iraq 1.15.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
35.8%
X (Draw)
30.3%
2 (Away Win)
33.9%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Senegal
Iraq
WINDRAWWIN
1.27 – 1.23
Expected Goals (xG)
52.6%
BTTS Probability
45.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.6
Avg Goals Scored
1.15
Senegal
Iraq
0.9
Avg Goals Conceded
1.25
Senegal
Iraq
54
BTTS %
48
Senegal
Iraq
54
Over 2.5 %
44
Senegal
Iraq
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
Senegal
Iraq
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
Senegal
Iraq
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
Senegal
Iraq
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Senegal
Iraq
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Senegal
0
Draws
0
Iraq
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)