Matchup Analysis
Egypt
Homevs
Iran
Away
Kick-off in
—
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W2
Iran
41.2%
All results
1X
58.8%
X2
66.6%
12
74.5%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
OVER 1.5
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Egypt Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Egypt 36% / Draw 30% / Iran 34%)
Expected goals (xG): Egypt 1.27 - Iran 1.23. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Egypt 1.4 vs Iran 1.4.
Expected goals (xG): Egypt 1.27 - Iran 1.23. Poisson: 36% / 30% / 34% (1/X/2).
Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); OVER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).
Form: Avg Goals Scored - Egypt 1.4 vs Iran 1.4.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form),
xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
Confidence: Low
1 (Home Win)
35.8%
X (Draw)
30.3%
2 (Away Win)
33.9%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Egypt
Iran
WINDRAWWIN
1.27 – 1.23
Expected Goals (xG)
52.6%
BTTS Probability
45.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
1.4
Avg Goals Scored
1.4
Egypt
Iran
1.05
Avg Goals Conceded
1.05
Egypt
Iran
50
BTTS %
50
Egypt
Iran
48
Over 2.5 %
48
Egypt
Iran
5.0
Avg Corners
5.0
Egypt
Iran
2.0
Avg Yellow Cards
2.0
Egypt
Iran
4.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.2
Egypt
Iran
25.0
Clean Sheet %
25.0
Egypt
Iran
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Egypt
0
Draws
0
Iran
No head-to-head history found.
Individual Team Stats (Last 15)