Matchup Analysis

Cape Verde

Home
vs

Saudi Arabia

Away
FIFA World Cup
Kick-off in
Match Insights
🔄 Double Chance
W2 Saudi Arabia 40.0%
All results
1X 60.0%
X2 67.9%
12 72.1%
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 2.5 Goals
UNDER 2.5
36.0% probability Expected: 1.8 goals
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 1.5 Goals
UNDER 1.5
58.3% probability
Medium
🔢 Over / Under 3.5 Goals
UNDER 3.5
8.3% probability Expected: 1.8 goals
High
🟨 Total Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Expected: 4.2 cards
Medium
🚩 Total Corners
Over 7.5
78.0% probability Expected: 10.0 corners
High
🧤 Clean Sheet
No Clean Sheet
Low
AI Analyse
Ensemble Verdict: Cape Verde Win (36%). Confidence: Low. (Cape Verde 36% / Draw 31% / Saudi Arabia 34%)

Expected goals (xG): Cape Verde 1.25 - Saudi Arabia 1.20. Poisson: 36% / 31% / 34% (1/X/2).

Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 52%.

Recommendations: UNDER 2.5 (Over / Under 2.5 Goals); UNDER 1.5 (Over / Under 1.5 Goals); UNDER 3.5 (Over / Under 3.5 Goals).

Form: Avg Goals Scored - Cape Verde 0.9 vs Saudi Arabia 0.9.
Generated from stats, Poisson model and signal analysis.
✨ Ensemble Prediction — Enhanced Accuracy
🎯 Improved Model: Combines momentum (recent form), xG-based Poisson, head-to-head history, and team strength.
Confidence: Low
35.9% 30.7% 33.5%
1 (Home Win)
35.9%
X (Draw)
30.7%
2 (Away Win)
33.5%
Poisson Model — Probability Breakdown
Cape Verde
35.9% 30.7% 33.5%
Saudi Arabia
WINDRAWWIN
1.25 – 1.2
Expected Goals (xG)
51.5%
BTTS Probability
44.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
71.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
Poisson model · Home advantage ×1.12 applied
Stats Comparison (Last 15 Matches)
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
42 BTTS % 42
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
36 Over 2.5 % 36
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
5.0 Avg Corners 5.0
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
2.0 Avg Yellow Cards 2.0
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
4.2 Avg Shots on Target 4.2
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
25.0 Clean Sheet % 25.0
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
Head to Head (Last 10)
0
Cape Verde
0
Draws
0
Saudi Arabia

No head-to-head history found.

Individual Team Stats (Last 15)
Cape Verde Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
0.9
Avg GF
1.5
Avg GA
42%
BTTS
36%
Over 2.5
Form: LDWLD
Saudi Arabia Full Stats
5
W
3
D
4
L
0.9
Avg GF
1.5
Avg GA
42%
BTTS
36%
Over 2.5
Form: LDWLD